Attention Turns to the Debt Ceiling

Attention Turns to the Debt Ceiling

May 15, 2023

Stocks were mixed last week as good inflation news was offset by mounting debt ceiling concerns and rekindled regional banking fears.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.11%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 slipped 0.29%. The Nasdaq Composite index rose 0.40% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, fell 0.67%.1,2,3

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Uncertainty Weighs on Stocks

The week got off to a quiet start as investors waited on April’s two key inflation reports scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. When consumer prices rose less than forecasted, stocks broke out of their lethargy and moved higher. Stocks also got a boost on Wednesday afternoon from comments from the White House, hinting at an opening for negotiation on the debt ceiling.

Despite a substantial cooling in producer price increases, stocks turned mixed on Thursday amid a disappointing earnings report from a Dow Industrial component and new data that reignited investor anxiety over regional banks’ financial health. Stocks ended the week the way they began, largely drifting in an otherwise directionless fashion.

Inflation Pressures Ease

Consumer prices rose 4.9% year-over-year, the tenth consecutive month that the headline inflation rate has declined. This was a slight improvement over March’s 12-month increase of 5.0%. April’s monthly inflation rate was 0.4 percent, above March’s 0.1 percent rise. April’s increase was driven by higher housing, gasoline, and used car costs.4

Inflation progress extended into wholesale prices, which rose 0.2% in April–below the consensus forecast of a 0.3% rise. For the last twelve months, producer prices increased 2.3%, an improvement from last month’s 2.7% year-over-year gain and the lowest recording since January 2021.5

This Week: Key Economic Data

Tuesday: Retail Sales. Industrial Production.

Wednesday: Housing Starts.

Thursday: Existing Home Sales. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Jobless Claims.

Source: Econoday, May 12, 2023
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: The Home Depot, Inc. (HD).

Wednesday: Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO), Target Corporation (TGT), The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX).

Thursday: Walmart, Inc. (WMT), Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT), Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST).

Friday: Deere & Company (DE)

Source: Zacks, May 12, 2023
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

Is The Fed Done Raising Rates Or Just Taking A Coffee Break?

The Fed raised the rate by 25 bps last week, and in our opinion they are most likely done. If they had not raised rates, there would have been a big question as to how bad the bank issue is/was. As we said before, we think the Fed is done raising rates. Banks have pulled back from lending which will...[READ MORE]6

This communication is issued by Howard Capital Management, Inc. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. 

Know and Understand Your Correct Filing Status

Taxpayers should understand their filing status well and at least be familiar with the other choices.

When preparing and filing a tax return, the filing status affects:

  • If the taxpayer is required to file a federal tax return
  • Their standard deduction amount
  • If they can claim certain credits
  • The amount of tax they should pay

Here are the five filing statuses:

Single: Normally, this status is for taxpayers who are unmarried, divorced, or legally separated under a divorce or separate maintenance decree governed by state law.

Married filing jointly: If a taxpayer is married, they can file a joint tax return with their spouse. When a spouse passes away, the widowed spouse can usually file a joint return for that year.

Married filing separately: Married couples can choose to file separate tax returns when doing so may result in more favorable treatment.

Head of household: Unmarried taxpayers may be able to file using this status, but special rules apply.

Qualifying widow(er) with dependent child: This status may apply to a taxpayer if their spouse died during one of the previous two years and they have a dependent child. Other conditions also apply.7

*This information is not intended to substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Keeping Your Heart Rate Up Indoors

A rainy day can steal our motivation to leave the comfort of our homes unless we have to. But your workouts don’t need to stop with bad weather. Here are a few ways to feel the burn indoors.

Hop to it with a rebounder (a mini trampoline) or a jump rope. If you have neither, fake it by keeping your hands to your sides and rotating them as you mimic the rest of the exercise sans equipment.

Find a YouTube video or other streaming guided workout. Can’t squeeze in a full half hour at once? Pause it and return when you’re ready.

Invest in workout equipment you know you’ll use. If you run or hike, consider a treadmill with an adjustable incline. Like to ride your bike? Consider getting a stationary one.

There are many ways to stay fit while the weather isn’t cooperating. But don’t forget to always discuss any medical concerns with your healthcare provider before beginning any fitness routine; the information provided is not a substitute for medical advice.8

Air Fryer Artichoke Hearts with Garlic Aioli

Servings: 4

Time: 15 mins

Air Fryer Artichoke Hearts are a simple, yet delicious low carb appetizer!


Air Fryer Artichoke Hearts   

  • 1 teaspoon garlic powder
  • ¼ teaspoon kosher salt
  • 2 tablespoons olive oil
  • ½ cup Parmesan cheese freshly grated
  • 2 14 oz cans artichoke hearts halved in water
  • cooking spray for air fryer

Garlic Aioli  

  • ¼ cup mayonnaise
  • ½ teaspoon smoked paprika
  • ¼ teaspoon kosher salt
  • 1 clove garlic large, grated
  • 2 tbsp lemon juice
  • 1 teaspoon lemon zest


Air Fryer Artichoke Hearts

  1. Preheat the air fryer to 400ºF degrees.
  2. Remove the artichokes from the can, drain well. If they are whole, cut in half. Then using a few paper towels, dry them on the paper towel, gently pressing down.
  3. In a bowl, add artichokes and olive oil, toss gently to coat the artichokes.
  4. Then add garlic powder and salt, toss gently to coat. Add Parmesan cheese, toss to combine.
  5. Spray air fryer basket with oil. Add artichokes and air fry for 5 minutes.
  6. Flip and air fry for another 5 minutes.
  7. Remove to a serving platter. Serve with aioli sauce to dip.

Garlic Aioli

  1. Add mayonnaise, smoked paprika, grated garlic, lemon zest and juice into a small bowl.
  2. Whisk to combine and add to a serving platter with artichokes. Enjoy.

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, May 12, 2023

2. The Wall Street Journal, May 12, 2023

3. The Wall Street Journal, May 12, 2023

4. The Wall Street Journal, May 10, 2023.

5.  CNBC, May 11, 2023

6., May 8,2023

7., 2023

8. Medical News Today, February 15, 2023

Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.

Copyright 2023 FMG Suite.

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