Wealth Watch: Be Mindful of Emotions During Downward Pressure

Wealth Watch: Be Mindful of Emotions During Downward Pressure

January 20, 2022
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From the desk of Vance Howard:

22-1-20-SPY-SPDR-S&P-500

The HCM-BuyLine® has weakened and we are monitoring to see if a change in trend is imminent. Growth stocks, technology, semiconductors, small caps, and just about everything has dropped at a fast pace since the start of the year. A relief rally is probably pretty close at hand, but the question is will it hold, or is this the start of a downtrend? On a short-term basis we are oversold, and a breach of the HCM-BuyLine® would indicate a more dire outlook. As everyone knows, when the market closes 3.5% below the HCM-BuyLine® we systematically start to reduce risk and wait for the market to wash itself out. Drawdowns and pull backs are part of the game, and while they are never fun, they are inevitable.

22-1-20-Buyline

Inflation and rising rates are putting a lot of pressure on the markets. Rates will go up this year and bonds are in for a nasty run for the foreseeable future. There are parts of the market that have held up well, but when the trend changes the market usually sees every asset class go down. Trying to find a safe investment will be a challenge. Real estate will not like higher rates, utilities will be under pressure and bonds are going to get beaten up, so as unattractive as cash is, that will be the place to sit and wait.

22-1-20-TLT-iShares

But for now, patience and controlling emotions is what we need to concentrate on. Even if we are forced to reduce exposure remember there is a lot of road left in 2022.

Vance Howard

This communication is issued by Howard Capital Management, Inc. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Howard Capital Management, Inc. may maintain long or short positions in the financial instruments referred to and may transact in them as principal or agent. Unless stated specifically otherwise, this is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell and any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. To the extent permitted by law, Howard Capital Management, Inc. does not accept any liability arising from the use of this communication. Howard Capital Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor which only does business where it is properly registered or is otherwise exempt from registration. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.HCM-011222.01

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