Powell: Tapering Likely in 2021

August 30, 2021

The stock market powered to record levels last week amid talk of Fed tapering and a deceleration in new Delta variant cases.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.96%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 increased 1.52%. The Nasdaq Composite index led, picking up 2.82%. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 1.39%. ¹

Pushing Higher

Stocks surged to begin the week as investor sentiment improved on news of the FDA’s approval of its first COVID-19 vaccine, a strong housing number and comments by the Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas president that he would support delaying tapering if the Delta variant spread worsened.

Stocks continued their climb through midweek, pushing the S&P 500 to another record high and the NASDAQ Composite above 15,000 for the first time. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite closed the week at record highs following Fed Chair Powell’s comments that Fed is likely to begin winding down its monthly bond purchases (aka tapering) by year-end, though no interest rate hikes were imminent. ²

Powell Speaks

At last week’s Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday provided further insights into Fed plans to begin tapering. Powell said that the Fed may likely commence tapering prior to year-end, adding that the wind down of bond purchases should not be seen as a signal for future rate hikes. Powell emphasized that labor market conditions remain short of the Fed’s target for maximizing employment. He also reiterated his case for why inflation remains a transitory phenomenon. ²

With a number of Regional Federal Reserve Bank presidents already supportive of tapering, investors may see more definitive steps coming out of next month’s FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting.

This Week: Key Economic Data

Tuesday: Consumer Confidence.

Wednesday: ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing Index. ADP (Automated Data Processing) Employment Report.

Thursday: Jobless Claims. Factory Orders.

Friday: Employment Situation Report. ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Services Index.

^{Source: Econoday, August 27, 2021
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.}

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Monday: Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM).

Tuesday: Netease, Inc. (NTES), Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD).

Wednesday: Okta, Inc. (OKTA).

Thursday: Broadcom, Inc. (AVGO), Mongodb, Inc. (MDB), Docusign, Inc. (DOCU).

^{Source: Zacks, August 27, 2021
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.}

FREE CHAIR YOGA!!!  Yes, that’s right…Free Chair Yoga offered weekly online.

Chair Yoga is a fantastic way for adults, especially older adults, to loosen and stretch painful muscles, lower stress and improve circulation. Just like a traditional yoga practice, chair yoga poses gives you all the health benefits to build strength and balance while reducing anxiety without having to worry about balancing on your head.   

We invite you (and friends) to join us Thursdays at 10:00 am (EST) as we go LIVE each week online through Zoom.

To register, click the link below. 

Breathe, Let go, Recharge.

PASSCODE: yoga

Markets Look Primed to Finish the Year Strong

"The HCM-BuyLine® is positive, and as per usual, any pullback should be bought. Look for the market to move higher over the last two quarters of 2021." ³

-Vance Howard

READ MORE HERE

^{This communication is issued by Howard Capital Management, Inc. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.} 

Is it Time for a Paycheck Checkup?

There's no better time to check your withholding status and make sure your paycheck accurately reflects the taxes you should be paying. These paycheck checkups are a great practice when something happens in your life that may change your tax status, such as getting married or getting divorced, having a baby, getting a new job, or getting a raise or promotion at work. You can also adjust your withholding status if you just want to change how much tax is withheld due to other circumstances.

During your paycheck checkup, you can also check other factors such as how much you're contributing to your health insurance or 401(k). These expenses can also impact your tax liability. ⁴

^{* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.}

5-Minute Core-Strengthening Workout

Even if you don't have a ton of time to dedicate to a core workout, this circuit will get you going and only takes 5 minutes. Here are the moves:

• 1-minute high plank: Your hands are on the ground, your arms are straight, and you are holding your body up with your arms and a tight core.
  
• 30-second side plank on each side: One hand is on the ground, your arm is straight, and the other arm is in the air. You can do a side plank with your feet stacked on top of each other (hardest), your feet staggered (a little easier), or your bottom knee on the ground.
• 1-minute boat pose: Your feet are in the air and your arms are by your side reaching to your feet. You can do this pose with your legs bent (easier) or straight out (harder).
• 1-minute crunches: Lift your shoulders and upper back off the ground without pulling your neck.
• 1-minute dead bug: Lay on your back and alternate extending out the opposite arm and the opposite leg at the same time. ⁵

Fluffy French Toast

12 servings

Time: 30 mins

INGREDIENTS

• ¼ cup all-purpose flour 
• 1 cup milk
• 1 pinch salt
• 3 eggs 
• ½ teaspoon ground cinnamon
• 1 teaspoon vanilla extract 
• 1 tablespoon white sugar
• 12 thick slices bread

DIRECTIONS

1. Measure flour into a large mixing bowl. Slowly whisk in the milk. Whisk in the salt, eggs, cinnamon, vanilla extract and sugar until smooth.
2. Heat a lightly oiled griddle or frying pan over medium heat.
3. Soak bread slices in mixture until saturated. Cook bread on each side until golden brown. Serve hot. ⁶

Footnotes and Sources

^{1. The Wall Street Journal, August 27, 2021}

^{2. CNBC, August 27, 2021}

^{3. Howardcm.com, August 18, 2021}

^{4.  IRS.gov, September 19, 2020}

^{5. Mindbodygreen.com, November 2, 2019}

^{6. Allrecipes.com}

^{Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.}

^{The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.}

^{This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.}

^{Copyright 2021 FMG Suite.}